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2024-12-13 04:54:15
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Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.Morgan Asset Management: In 2025, there are sufficient reasons to continue to over-allocate US stocks. Sylvia Sheng, global multi-asset strategist of Morgan Asset Management, said that there are sufficient reasons to continue to over-allocate US stocks and increase exposure to small and medium-sized stocks. She pointed out that although the valuation may look high, it is expected that the profit growth of S&P 500 companies will continue. Sheng wrote that it is estimated that in 2025, the contribution of the six giants in the S&P 500 index to the profit growth of the other 494 stocks will be the same, and the profit growth of these six giants is expected to slow down from 40% in 2024 to 22%. In the international market, Morgan Asset Management continues to over-allocate Japanese stocks, and its quantitative model shows that the yield of Japanese stocks is attractive and the bottom-up profitability is strong.*ST Hanma: The reorganization plan of the company and its five subsidiaries was approved by the court. On December 11, 2024, the company and its five subsidiaries, Anhui Valin Automobile Co., Ltd., Anhui Xingma Special Purpose Vehicle Co., Ltd., Anhui Fuma Automobile Parts Group Co., Ltd., Anhui Fuma Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. and Wuhu Fuma Automobile Parts Co., Ltd., received the court ruling, approved their reorganization plans and terminated the reorganization procedures, and then entered the implementation stage.


Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei: Syria's occupied areas will be liberated.Sichuan issued 30-year ordinary special local bonds, with a scale of 35.4 billion yuan, an issue interest rate of 2.2000%, a marginal multiple of 1.58 times and an expected multiple of 2.19.Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.


Trump said that individuals or companies that invest more than $1 billion in the United States will get accelerated approval. US President-elect Trump wrote in a post on his social media Truth Social on Tuesday: "Any individual or company that invests more than $1 billion in the United States will get comprehensive and accelerated approval and permission, including but not limited to all environmental approvals." This is the latest sign that Trump intends to relax the supervision of federal agencies and attract more foreign investment during his second term.Policy combination boosts confidence, and public offering: China's assets will usher in a further increase in valuation. On December 9, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. A number of public offerings said that the meeting sent a very positive signal. At present, the economy is resilient, the investor structure is constantly optimized, and the market activity continues to increase. China assets may have an opportunity to raise their valuations again. From the perspective of funds, Jing Shun Great Wall Fund analyzed that the current A-share market is in the most active stage since 2015, and there are many potential bulls in the market. Policy expectations are expected to drive incremental funds into the market, forming a resonance between emotions and funds. (SSE)The second meeting of the Global Foreign Exchange Market Committee in 2024 was successfully held. From December 5 to December 6, 2024, the second meeting of the Global Foreign Exchange Committee (GFXC) in 2024 was held online. The meeting discussed the promotion and implementation of global standards, the second round of three-year review of global standards, the operation of foreign exchange market and related market hot issues. Representatives from China Foreign Exchange Market Steering Committee (CFXC) attended the meeting. This meeting discussed the final results of the second round of three-year review of global standards. The Working Group on Foreign Exchange Settlement Risk and the Working Group on Foreign Exchange Data respectively introduced the final revision suggestions of the relevant provisions of the global standards, and how the Working Group continuously improved according to the public comments and feedback from the local foreign exchange market committees and in October 2024. The revision of the Global Standards aims to strengthen the relevant principles of foreign exchange settlement risk management and enhance the transparency of specific types of foreign exchange transactions and the use of customer-generated data on electronic trading platforms. GFXC members strongly support this.

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